5. Simpson's paradox |
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In case of cross tables, if two conditions are compared, sometimes contradictions (paradoxes) occur. The paradox can best be seen by an example. A realistic example that you can open below concerns comparing two treatments for kidney stones. In one table is the result of treatment A, in the second of treatment B. Both tables show that treatment A gives better results than treatment B. From the pooled tables, however, it appears that treatment B is the better. This paradoxical conclusion has to do with another variable, the so-called "confounding" (confusing) variable. How you can see it in an app. The explanation below is also on the ontop text Results should be compared with fractions or percentages. To activate percentages you must click on Row percentages. Treatment A is 93% effective for small stones, treatment B for 87%. Treatment A is 73% effective for large stones, treatment B for 69%. In either case treatment A gives the best result. However, if you take the numbers together as in the rightmost table, treatment B seems better. Treatment B is 83% effective, treatment A 78%.
You will find the source of this example https://en.wikipedia.org/?title=Simpson's_paradox
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